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National auto data for December released this week by China showed that EV sales in the country rose a staggering 11 consecutive periods of which the last six months were records, each eclipsing the month prior. Total figures for 2017 shows that the country produced 794,000 new energy vehicles (up 53.8%) and sold 777,000 units (up 53.3%). New energy vehicles now constitute 2.7% of the national fleet for the year, an increase of 50% on the 1.8% in 2016. Passenger EVs grew from 1.4% of the national fleet in 2016 to 2.38% in 2017. Of the total amount of EVs produced 478,000 (up 81.7%) were pure electric and 114,000 (40.3%) were plug-in hybrid vehicles. Sales for pure electric cars amounted to 458,000 (up 82.1%) and for that of PHEV 111,000 (up39.4%).
According to Reuters a forecast from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers on Thursday predicted that EV sales would grow 40% on that of 2017, bringing forecasted total sales for 2018 to 1 million vehicles. Manufacturers such as FAW, BAIC, and BYD came out this week with their plans for 2018. BYD targets to sell 200,000 EVs in 2018 while BAIC will build on its success of 2017 by bringing five pure electric models to market. Read our full report on BAIC unseating Renault in the Top 3 EV companies and its 2018 plans here. FAW the state-owned automaker announced that it would develop 15 EV models through its Hongqi luxury brand by 2025 starting with its first model in 2018 in a bid to revive the ailing brand. The company hopes that by focusing on EVs that it could increase Honqi’s sales from the current ca 5,000 units to 100,000 in 2020 and 300,000 in 2025. EV models from 2020 onwards will be developed on a new drivetrain with a range of 373 miles (600km) and assembled in Changchun.
According to the Times of India Nissan is engaging with the Indian Government to support the company in bringing a mass-produced and affordable EV to market which could also be exported to other countries in the region. Nissan’s Global Director for EVs, Nicholas Thomas, told the Times that the car should be in the region of Rs 7 lakh ($10,000), making it cheaper than the Indian produced Mahindra e20, previously also sold in the UK. Mr. Thomas gave no timeline on such a project and commented that it would depend on the development of the Indian EV market and the affordability of batteries in the country. Although the Indian Government aspires to be 100% in electric by 2030, it is yet to present a clear plan on how this will be achieved. Nissan’s EV strategy is to develop 12 EV models by 2022 for the international market.
In related news, Nissan announced that orders for the new Nissan eNV200 MPV or 7-seater eNV200 Evalia are now open. The limited edition 40kWh Nissan eNV200 with an expected range of 280km (175 miles) will be available in Italy, Belgium, Germany, Austria, and Switzerland from the second quarter of 2018.
In December 2017 Hyundai Senior VP Lee King was quoted by Reuters that the Group sees the end of the sharp drop in prices of lithium batteries by 2020 after which it expects prices to flatten off. According to Reuters Mr. King said at the time: “Not a single ingredient is going in a positive direction in terms of pricing, so far battery prices have been declining at a rapid pace, but the pace will moderate significantly or maintain the status quo by 2020.”
This week at the CES 2018 Mr. King was quoted by Reuters making the same remarks at the launch of its new Nexo FCEV. Although Hyundai and its sister company KIA acknowledges the need to go green, they see a much smaller role for electric vehicles pushing hydrogen-based vehicles along with Japanese carmaker Toyota and FIAT Chrysler. Hyundai KIA is launching EVs on its new platform this year and plans to roll out EVs powered by solid-state batteries from 2020.
Last week I featured some of the teasers ahead of the CES 2018. You can now view the unveiled images and specifications on each of the dedicated pages on wattEV2 buy for the XPENG G3, Fisker eMotion, Byton Concept, KIA Niro BEV Concept, and Hyundai Nexo FCEV SUV by following the associated links.
Panasonic showcased mockups of a platform for EV bikes and micro-cars it developed at its booth at the CES 2018. The platform which offers an energy-efficient, a safe powertrain that features integrated compactness, high efficiency and flexible scalability includes a power unit (with an onboard charger, junction box, inverter and DC-to-DC converter) and a motor unit.
Nissan and Nasa are extending their five-year research co-operation partnership to develop a working demonstration of SAM (Nissan Seamless Autonomous Mobility) by 2019. First introduced at the CES 2017 Nissan developed SAM from NASA technology used to managing interplanetary rovers as they move around unpredictable landscapes. SAM is used to managing autonomous transportation services. According to Nissan “SAM represents a major milestone in Nissan Intelligent Integration, providing the infrastructure to safely and seamlessly integrate autonomous mobility services into existing urban environments.”
The world’s largest supplier of semiconductors to the auto industry, NXP, launched its Automated Drive Kit at the CES 2018. The NXP Automated Drive Kit allows for the open, fast and flexible development of Level 3 self-driving systems and will expand to higher levels of autonomy in time. The Drive Kit is a software-enabled platform that enables carmakers and suppliers to develop, test and deploy autonomous algorithms and applications quickly on an open and flexible platform with an expanding ecosystem of partners. According to a press release by the NXP:
“The first release of the Automated Drive Kit will include a front vision system based on NXP’s S32V234 processor, allowing customers to deploy their algorithms of choice. The Kit also includes front camera application software APIs and Object Detection Algorithms provided by Neusoft; a leading IT solutions and services provider in China and a strategic ADAS and AD partner to NXP. Additionally, the Kit includes sophisticated radar options and GPS positioning technology. Customers choose from various LiDAR options and can add LiDAR Object Processing (LOP) modular software from AutonomouStuff, which provides ground segmentation and object tracking.”
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Tesla’s (TSLA) share price has been following a steady downward trend since the launch of the Model 3, but a double whammy of bad news accelerated selling this week. Tesla stock is down 16% since the 16th of October as news of the company’s failure to meet delivery targets for the Tesla Model 3 became a daily news feature with only 220 vehicles delivered at the end of September of 1,500 targeted. The company’s Q3 results released this week showed that despite record revenues on a sales growth of nearly 5% the company posted a wider than expected loss of $619.4 million, burning over $1.4Bln in cash. News that Trump’s tax plan included an immediate scrapping of the $7,500 Federal Tax subsidy triggered a sudden sell-off resulting in a drop of $20 to trade below the $300 level support we identified earlier the year. The $280 to $300 range is a key support area for the breakout we saw in April, should it not hold we can easily see TSLA to trade below $250, potentially even $200. A key long-term resistance now is $350 with $320 expected to be the top for the next couple of weeks. Tesla also changed the guidance on Model 3 deliveries and its target of 5,000 units per week have been pushed back by a quarter to Q1 2018,
See our previous forecast on Tesla stock (TSLA) in Week 14, Week 18 and Week 20.
Tesla sales for October in the USA also failed to impress with the company not reaching a Top 3 spot in part due to increasingChevrolet Bolt sales. The accelerated sales of the Bolt can see GM dethroning the Tesla Model S as the top-selling EV for 2017. To date 20K Tesla Model S vehicles have been sold and 17k Chevrolet Bolt’s of GM’s 30,000 annual production capacity.
On a more positive note the company this week seemed to stick to the third unveil date the company set for the unveiling of the Tesla Semi truck after pushing back the event twice in the last two months to focus on the Model 3 bottlenecks. Tesla this week sent out an invitation to the official event to be held in Hawthorne California on the 16th of November at 7 pm.
Lamborghini announced on its Facebook page that it would release its vision for a future sports car on Monday the 16th of November 2017 developed in conjunction with the Massachutes Institute of Technology. Earlier the week Autocar reported that Lamborghini would release a plug-in hybrid Huracan in 2022 featuring new lightweight battery fuelling the suspicion that the vehicle unveiled on Monday would, in fact, be a Lamborghini Huracan sporting solid-state battery technology.
According to an interview by Auto Express with Citroen CEO, Linda Jackson, the French automaker will have a model mix consisting 80% of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles from 2023. According to Linda Jackson, the company is driven by market needs and guided by a growing demand for electric vehicles in China. Citroen and its Chinese partner, Dongfeng, has partnered on the development of the new platform that will form the backbone of the strategy.
Renault and its Chinese partner Dongfeng announced this week that it would launch three locally produced electric models by 2022. The EVs are expected to be either crossovers or SUVs.
The Nikkei Asian Review (NAR) reported that Honda would produce fast charging EVs from 2022. According to the NAR, the Japanese carmaker is developing EVs capable of a 240km (150 miles) range from a single 15-minute charge.
Global EV sales are powering ahead with most Top 20 countries EV sales already surpassing total EV sales for 2016. This week the USA and Swedish EV sales were made public. EV sales in the USA for October 2017 followed a seasonal pattern, while significantly lower than the record set in September it was still 36% higher than October 2016. EV sales in Sweden reached its second record month since August already surpassing total EV sales for 2016. For the top ranking EVs in Sweden and the USA during October 2017 follow the links.
The Californian based lithium-Ion battery company Enevate Corporation, founded in 2005 at the University of California this week announced its HD-Energy battery technology. The new technology allows for extreme fast charging of 240 miles in only five minutes, that is 50 miles in 60 seconds. The NCM based lithium batteries have an energy density of 750 Wh/L. Enevate’s HD-Energy technology can safely operate in -40°C, capture more energy during regenerative braking allowing for longer ranges in cold climates. The HD-Energy technology is resistant to lithium plating in fast charging and low-temperature environments, a challenge for conventional graphite lithium batteries.
Automotive News reported on Toyota’s Fine Comfort Ride concept first introduced at the Tokyo Auto Show earlier this month. According to the Japanese carmakers Chief Engineer, Takao Sato. The plastic-aluminum hub encircled by a rubber band could potentially shave off 30% (11 pounds) from a tire’s weight by 2025 on electric and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles. Airless tires by Michelin and Bridgestone is already available in golf-carts, lawnmowers and construction equipment. Pricing is not expected to be the prohibitive factor as costs already compare with current tires. Overcoming rolling resistance (friction) is the biggest hurdle the company is expected to cross. The plastic-aluminum tires have a friction deficit of between 10 and 20% compared to existing pneumatic tires which is unacceptable for the drivetrain platforms needing every extra mile out of the power source such as EVs.
Ford, AT&T, Nokia and chipmaker Qualcomm partnered around developing C-V2X (cellular vehicle to everything) technology for commercial deployment in 2020. The partnership will commence testing at the San Diego Regional Proving Ground and aims to demonstrate the cost-efficient benefits associated with embedded cellular technology in vehicles and synergies between the deployment of cellular base stations and roadside infrastructure to improve safety and driving efficiency.
The Korean automaker SsangYong will start testing its autonomous vehicle technology on public roads in Korea. The SAE Level 3 system will be mounted on Tivoli SUV. SsangYong is accelerating its autonomous vehicle development to get in line with the Korean Government’s plans to commercialize self-driving by 2020.
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Nissan expanded its e-Power family with the unveiling of the new Serena e-Power minivan/delivery vehicle, available for sale in Japan from early 2018. The Serena e-Power follows the Nissan Note e-Power unveiled in November 2016. E-Power powertrain is not a pure-electric car although it is 100% electric motor driven utilizing the motor and inverter from the Leaf it recharges through the engine, not a plug-in system.
Nissan also unveiled two concept vehicles with electrified powertrains at the Tokyo Auto Show 2017. The autonomous IMx zero-emission concept crossover with a complete autonomous range of 600km (375 miles) and a customized e-NV200 called the e-NV200 Fridge Concept. The IMx Concept was introduced with its signature sound, called “Canto” which Nissan says is the sound of the future and will be heard from all Nissan cars in the future.
According to Nissan, the IMxt utilizes it’s all new and dedicated electric vehicle platform married to twin motor power units that deliver 320kW power and 700nm of torque from a redesigned and re-engineered high-capacity battery offering increased energy density. The IMx give customers a glimpse to the company’s latest and future innovations aligned to its Nissan Intelligent Mobility vision. The core of the IMx’s technological features is centered around a future version of ProPILOT, offering fully autonomous operation. When ProPILOT drive mode is selected, the system stows the steering wheel inside the dashboard and reclines all seats
The Japanese automaker lifted the lid on its solution to urban delivery challenges with the unveiling of a modified, all-electric Nissan e-NV200 Fridge Concept. The Fridge Concept’s compact size is ideal for operating in cities where large delivery trucks are often prevented from going. The 24kWh battery of the standard Nissan e-NV200 will drive the motor, and an additional 12kWh in the cargo hold will provide energy to the refrigeration unit to store chilled foods.
In his speech during the launch introducing Nissan Intelligent Mobility at the Tokyo Auto Show, Danielle Schillaci, EVP mentioned that the 2018 Nissan Leaf’s sales in its first month equaled 50% of total sales in the prior year.
Nissan also announced that it will join the Formula E franchise from Season 5 starting late 2018. Although not explicitly announced Nissan would replace its Alliance partner Renault which is bowing out of the E-series to focus all its efforts on Formula One.The Renault e.dams Formula E team has won the first three seasons of the electric racing franchise.
Hyundai Kia unveiled its next-generation powertrain strategy at its International Powertrain Conference in South Korea this week which will help the automaker to reach its long-term emissions goal. Hyundai showcased four engines and two transmission systems at the two-day event attended by 1,200 academics and engineers. By 2022, Hyundai Motor Group aims to develop an all-new Smart Stream powertrain line-up for ICE vehicles composing of 10 gasoline engines, six diesel engines, and six transmissions. Hyundai believes that combustion engines will be the dominant engine type up to 2025 after which PHEV and BEV powertrains start receiving wider acceptance. The automaker will also develop Fuel Cell EVs, Plug-in Hybrid EVs, and pure electric vehicles to respond to changing market needs.
In a strategy that favors combustion vehicles and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEV), Hyundai’s FCEV will be developed to have an 800km (500 miles) range and 163 horsepower output as it targets the largest hydrogen storage density of any fuel cell vehicle available.
There has been much focus the past weeks on electric commercial vehicles as automakers try an carve out a niche in new electric vehicle markets and benefit from the growing push to dispense with diesel and gasoline vehicles.
Isuzu, a latecomer to the EV race, unveiled an electrified version of its midsize N-Series light-duty truck at the Tokyo Auto Show. The Isuzu electric truck will be ideal for short-haul deliveries and services such as garbage collection. The e-truck will enter the market in 2018 and Isuzu will target the pricing so that operators can recoup upfront costs between three and five years according to the Nikkei Asian Review. The Isuzu electric truck will deliver a 100km range per hour of charge time.
Daimler Trucks subsidiary Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation (MFTBC) this week launched a dedicated brand for its electrified range of trucks and buses at the Tokyo Auto Show. The unveiling of the new brand, E-Fuso, was accompanied by the world premiere of the all-electric heavy duty truck E-Fuso Vision One with a range of 218 miles (350km). The Vision One follows the launch of the production version of the Fuso eCanter light duty truck a month ago. Marc Llistosella, President and CEO of Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation and Head of Daimler Trucks Asia claims the eCanter can save up to 1000 Euros in running costs per 10,000 km.
The Chinese equivalent to Uber and Lyft, DiDi Chuxing this week finalized a strategic partnership with NEVS to develop an electric vehicle fully optimized for the mobility services provided by ridesharing companies such as DiDi. DiDi recently estimated that there would be more than one million EVs on its platform by 2020. Stefan Tilk, the CEO and President of NEVS (previously SAAB), said: “With DiDi actively taking part in the design and development phase, we will make sure that the vehicles will be fully adapted for the needs of our customer.” The result of the strategic partnership will already be available in the upcoming release of the NEVS 9-3, expected in 2018.
The UK automotive technology company, Delphi Automotive, this week acquired Boston based nuTonomy for a total purchase price of $450 million. According to a press release by the company the acquisition is to accelerate commercialization of its autonomous driving (AD) and Automated Mobility-on-Demand (AMoD) solutions for automakers and new mobility customers worldwide. Delphi is expected to have a fleet of 60 autonomous vehicles in Singapore and other pilot cities on three continents by year-end, with the goal to further accelerate global fleet expansion and technology development. The latest acquisition is the latest in a series of investments by Delphi to expand its leadership position in the new mobility space. Previous investments include that of AD software developer Ottomatika and data service companies Control-Tec and Movimento.
Nissan this week demonstrated a prototype of its most advanced autonomous driving technology which it is currently testing on public roads in an around Tokyo. The next-generation ProPilot kitted on an Infiniti Q50 is planned for release by the Japanese automaker in 2020. The NextGen ProPilot AI system uses inputs from 12 sonars, 12 cameras, nine millimeter-wave radars, six laser scanners and a high-definition map to analyze complex scenarios in real time and navigate through challenging city traffic.
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